Little Movement in Vote as New Premier Begins

In the first poll since new Premier Peter Gutwein was sworn in, no significant movement in Tasmanian voting intentions or preferred Premier rating was observed, as voters weigh up his performance and the Government’s response to health, housing and COVID-19 related issues.

After excluding undecided voters, the Liberal State Government’s support now stands at 43 per cent, down from 44 per cent in December 2019, while the Labor opposition saw an increase of 3 points in the same period with support now at 34 per cent.

The latest poll of 1,000 Tasmanian adults was conducted from the 3 rd to the 10 th of March. “The support for the Government has remained steady since the last poll in December, as voters watch to see how Premier Gutwein will differ from his predecessor both in a policy and leadership sense,” said Samuel Paske (EMRS Managing Director).

“With the support for Labor at 34 per cent currently, they will be encouraged by consecutive bumps to their support since a November 2019 result of 29 per cent. This also means 1 in 5 decided voters have currently indicated their vote would go to The Greens, another minor party, or an independent if an election was to be held now.

The latest poll shows that voter preferences regarding their choice for Premier remain largely consistent with the results from the last poll in December 2019 when Will Hodgman was still the leader.

Premier Peter Gutwein does not hold the lead in the preferred Premier rating, recording 39 per cent compared to 42 per cent for Will Hodgman in December 2019, while support for Rebecca White as the preferred option sits at 41 per cent, down 2 points from the last poll, with 1 in 5 voters undecided.

Voters will be looking to both leaders in the coming weeks to see how they respond to COVID-19 and the associated uncertainty, and we expect the next poll in May 2019 to reflect whatever action and leadership is exhibited in the ensuing period.”

You can view the full report here.